Dream Football Rankings: RBs one expert suches as much less than agreement

ECR represents “Expert Consensus Ranking,” which indicates the ordinary positions of the dream football sector and is normally comparable to ADP (which varies from site-to-site). This recurring positional collection will certainly highlight some large distinctions in between ECR and my very own rankings.

[Quarterbacks I like more | Running backs I like more ]

Saquon Barkley, Philly Eagles

ECR: RB6 vs. My Ranking: RB8

Barkley certainly enhanced offending settings with the relocate to Philly, yet his decrease last period included greater than simply his colleagues. Barkley’s busted deal with% (4.7) was the sixth-worst in the league and just Dameon Pierce and Miles Sanders had an even worse EPA/rush effort. The getting peripherals aren’t any much better; Barkley has actually ended up second-to-last in EPA/target each of the last 2 periods.

Background hasn’t respected running backs switching teams at this stage of their career, and Barkley’s brand-new quarterback racked up 15 hurrying goals in 2014, consisting of 11 fromthe one-yard line The Eagles were one of only two teams without a solitary RB thrill effort from the objective line last period. Philly running backs rank just 25th in targets considering that Injures took control of as starter and have actually seen the fifth-fewest expected fantasy points over the last 2 years.

Only two of 69 Eagles passing goals over the last 3 periods have actually mosted likely to RBs. Philly has a loaded WR/TE group and a running QB, so targets will certainly be restricted. Barkley has a hard time prior to get in touch with (and keep in mind, Jason Kelce retired) and just doesn’t resemble the player he was when getting in the organization.

Barkley is a dangerous top-12 choice in Yahoo organizations.

Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams

ECR: RB7 vs. My Ranking: RB9

The Rams’ crime has prospective to be terrific if fully healthy, and Sean McVay enjoys making use of a workhorse back. Williams has actually become a good NFL runner, yet he benefitted from a favorable schedule in 2014 and struggles as a receiver; he saw simply 3 targets over the last 3 video games last period (consisting of the playoffs). However the largest interest in Williams is his wellness.

Williams endured a high-ankle strain and a Jones crack in 2022 and after that a hip contusion, one more high-ankle strain and a busted hand in the playoffs (that called for surgical procedure and would certainly’ve price him weeks) last period. He additionally remained OTAs in springtime due to a “foot issue” Therefore, Los Angeles composed Blake Corum in the 3rd round to help lessen Williams’ workload.

Williams is a 5-9, 194-pound fifth-rounder that’s missed out on 35-plus% of the video games considering that being composed, and Corum is impressing, so RB7 is too expensive.

Travis Etienne, Jacksonville Jaguars

ECR: RB9 vs. My Ranking: RB11

The last dream numbers existed, yet Etienne put on down when offered a larger work last period. His YPC went down from 5.1 in 2022 to 3.8 in 2014, whenJacksonville reduced his workload after the team’s bye Etienne was the RB3 (18.8 dream factors per video game) over Weeks 1-9 yet simply the RB23 (11.4 fpg) over Weeks 10-18. There’s been talk throughout summer concerning the Jaguars continuing to do the same in 2024, so it might not matter that Storage tank Bigsby isn’t great.

Etienne is additionally due for regression after racking up greater than two times as numerous goals last period regardless of seeing less red-zone brings contrasted to 2022; he racked up a tremendousfive touchdowns more than expected last year Jacksonville has actually generated the third-fewest RB anticipated dream factors over the last two seasons, and Press Taylor is an issue at offending planner.

I would certainly prepare Isiah Pacheco over Etienne this year.

D’Andre Swift, Chicago Bears

ECR: RB24 vs. My Ranking: RB32

Swift was the RB24 (11.2 fpg) last period while working as lead back behind a Philly offending line that placed initially in run-block win price. He placed 8th in lawns prior to get in touch with yet ended up last in % of brings thatproduced 2+ yards after contact Swift placed towards all-time low of the organization in most advanced rushing stats, and the Bears’ offending line is a huge downgrade. He was unfortunate regularly dropping simply except completion area and shedding goals to Jalen Injures, yet Swift additionally has a hard time in short-yardage situations and pass defense.

Matt Eberflus suches as to make use of a “hot hand” split backfield viewpoint, so Roschon Johnson might take passing downs with Khalil Herbert blended in. Herbert placed behind just De’Von Achane in thrill lawns over assumption last period, when he was just one of simply 8 RBs that compelled 25+ missed out on deals with onfewer than 175 rushing attempts Herbert additionally has a hard time in pass defense, yet he’s been an elite rush when given the opportunity throughout his career and is most likelyChicago’s best ballcarrier Swift’s agreement makes him the clear starter getting in the year, yet this might easily end up a three-way committee.

Seattle is the only group that generated less RB anticipated dream factors than Chicago over the last two seasons, and the Seahawks’ OC is currently with the Bears. Swift has a checkered injury background and had actually never ever played a complete period up until in 2014, so RB24 is too expensive.

Zamir White, Las Las Vega Raiders

ECR: RB22 vs. My Ranking: RB28

White balanced 24.3 possibilities and 114.3 skirmish lawns during four games Josh Jacobs missed last period. White additionally outplayed Jacobs, that’s currently in Environment-friendly Bay. However White additionally has some apparent warnings normally seen with “Dead Area RBs.” He’s a fourth-round choice that hasn’t gotten to 175 brings considering that he wasa sophomore in high school White completed 17 functions in university, played simply 8 3rd downs all last period and is shaky in pass protection, so he’s most likely to deliver giving job to novice Dylan Laube. Additionally, White’s 4 begins while Jacobs was sidelined all came versus groups ranked 21st or worse in run defense DVOA.

Antonio Pierce might wish to run the round, yet Las Las vega will likely be playing plenty from behind; Las Las vega is predicted to rating the sixth-fewest points and win just 6.5 games this period. New Las Las Vega OC Luke Getsy simply obtained terminated from the Bears, and the Raiders go into 2024 with among the organization’s shakiest quarterback scenarios.

A two-down back on a poor group with a tiny record and a reduced pedigree– yet a high ADP– is a dish for dream frustration.